2018年10月24日 星期三

歐菲收購不利舜宇


歐菲科技擬收購富士膠片鏡頭相關專利及富士天津全部股權,以下是野村解讀摘要:

Nomura’s view: a good acquisition for O-film, but it may intensify competition in the auto lens and handset lens industry.

 Automotive lenses: In our view it will not have a negative impact on Sunny’s earnings yet, as different automotive lens products all require long qualification time, but more likely in the form of a potential valuation de-rating.

 Handset lenses: We think this is positive for O-Film in terms of developing its in-house handset lenses in the long run (just as Sunny’s handset lens growth accelerated after it bought Konica Minolta’s Shanghai lens business in 2014). Usually, patents can help to extend lens design freedom, enhance the bargaining power over competitors amid patent arguments, and ease customers’ concerns of using its lenses, especially for overseas markets. But, we don’t know the quality of FUJIFILM’s handset lens patents, because its shipment scale has been small in recent years. The real impacts on handset lens peers will take some time to determine.

 We think O-Film’s acquisition of patents and auto lens plant from FUJIFILM group should have a negative impact on the share prices of Largan (3008 TT, BUY) and Sunny (2382 HK, BUY) in the near term.

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問題並不在於原意、初心是不是好,也不在於某一具體條款對行業內不同公司的影響,而是對於A4治國的擔憂甚或恐懼。 不能自己是個錘子,看到什麼都是釘子。經濟都什麼樣了,還要監管這個規範那個。更要命的是,整頓監管思路太直接太幼稚。哦,把房價弄下來,把教培打掉,然後也不讓玩遊戲,那麼大家都...